Samarkand has separate 2027 T50 and T100 events. The T50 Championship is listed for 24–25 April with distances still TBC; this page is for the individual T100 listed on 22 August at 2/80/18 km. The T100 course map has not been published.
I’m Tom, the coach behind Sense Endurance Coaching. Tell me where you are now and I’ll show you what a strong day in Samarkand could look like.
This prediction uses · 2 km swim · 80 km bike · 18 km run
The course behind your race
A new distance calls for a new race plan.
The 2027 T100 format changes the shape of the day. Keep the swim controlled, treat the 80 km bike as preparation for a hard 18 km run, and build your forecast around those distances. Exact 2027 roads and turns still need the final course map.
01Samarkand T100 swim · 2 km
Find a rhythm you can carry into the bike
The announced 2 km swim needs a controlled opening, wherever the final 2027 line is set. Settle your breathing and save effort for the parts of the race you can plan more precisely.
Settle by 300 m. Use confirmed course markers.
02Samarkand T100 bike · first 40 km
Choose power you can repeat
The 2027 roads have not been published. Use effort and fuelling to guide this opening section, then adapt terrain cues to the final map.
Check effort before average speed. Start fuelling early.
03Samarkand T100 bike · final 40 km
Let the scenery change, not the effort
Ride the second half to a sustainable effort, adjusting only to terrain and conditions confirmed on the final course.
Ride to effort. Finish your nutrition before T2.
04Samarkand T100 run · first 9 km
Give the legs time to become runners
The 18 km run needs a sustainable rhythm from the first kilometre. Confirm the course and aid station pattern from the final map.
Shorten your stride out of T2. Use confirmed aid stations.
05Samarkand T100 run · final 9 km
Earn the right to finish fast
Make the first 9 km a controlled investment. Save any increase until you know the legs can maintain it.
Compare the back half to the front honestly. Keep the finish decision yours.
What to check in race week
Plan for 2 km swimming, 80 km riding and 18 km running, not the older middle-distance route. Before race week, check the actual swim start, bike roads, run laps, transitions, aid and climbing from the final 2027 course.
Forecast statusToo early for a forecast
A race-day forecast is not meaningful yet; check back closer to the event.
Temperature
18.9–34.9°CDew point centred on 4.6°C
Wind and gusts
9.3 km/hGusts up to 34.6 km/hPrevailing direction ENE
Rain likelihood
Up to 15%Wet-surface uncertainty retained
Historical baseline, 2019–2025 · Open-Meteo historical archive · Updated 2026-09-15.Historical comparison only. This is not a forecast for 2027.
Make your finish prediction and I can send this plan to you in race week.
Your plan, in race week
Prepare for Samarkand
Build the legs. Practise the decisions.
A finish range gives you something to work towards. The preparation is specific to this race: the announced 2/80/18 effort becomes familiar in training, with precise swim and road rehearsals added when the new course is confirmed.
I’m Tom. With Sense Endurance Coaching, I’ll build that preparation around your life, follow how you respond and adjust the work as you get closer to Samarkand.
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